Friday, April 4, 2008

Tonto Trade - ACI


ACI gapped up and printed a very nice series of NRIBs on declining volume (bars 3 to 6) at the base of R2. The 6th bar was NRIB with low volume and close to the rising 5EMA, so I entered on the break of the 6fh bar high. Price quickly rallied to the ORH line where it consolidated for a while and then continued its way up. At 2pm and after a solid, red candle ACI printed a doji and it was clear on the 1min chart the signs of struggle between buyers and sellers, so I took a partial profit at that point. I was very tempted to exit soon after that, but it seemed like price simply was retracing to the $49.00 line. Buyers seemed to be loosing momentum so I exited at $49.00.


BDX also worked well for me today.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

Do you mind explaining what you used for your stop in both examples. Thanks.

Anonymous said...

Anyone else see a nasty lower wick on the 12th 15min bar?

Strange.

Anonymous said...

One last question. What was your target on the ACI trade? Did you have a specific target or where you just going with the flow?

anarco said...

Hi Anon~
ACI stops:
1. Took a partial when I after a WR red bar and sign of weakness.
2. Exited when buyers could not hold $49.
BDX stops:
1. Partial at the R2 pivot point line marked in orange.
2. Exited after three consecutive WR bars.

anarco said...

Hi Anon_
I do not see the lower wick you refer to. Sorry.
anarco

anarco said...

Hi Anon~
My final target for ACI was $50 and we could have gotten there with just a little afternoon strength. But sellers had a different plan.
Cheers,
anarco

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the replies. Been reading through you blog for about a week now and i like what i see. Good Trading!

Sorry that I didn't clarify but when I was asking about the stops I was referring to your initial stop-loss.

And for the ACI $50 target. How did you come up with this?

Hope I didn't bombard you with too many questions. I appreciate the help.

anarco said...

Hi Anon~
Thanks for the compliments.
My stop-loss is typically the trigger candle low.
Why $50.00 as a target? IMHO the round numbers not only act as support/resistance, they also act as magnets. So if a stock has momentum and it is close enough to a round number, it is likely to touch it. With ACI it was a gut feeling based on early price action that it might try to get there. But I was wrong.

Anonymous said...

Thanks. Keep up the good work and Ill keep up with the questions :)

OONR7 said...

a real professional trade in ACI... good eye. I was hung up in my rules and waited for a narrow range bar to close strong around this level (little to no upper wick). The 11:15 bar came close but it closed right below the ORH so I waited. Anyway, nice wedge trade.

anarco said...

Thanks 00NR7!
I also like your MOS trade.

Anonymous said...

Does it worry you that the trigger bar you use is red and you want to go long?

anarco said...

Anon~
It did not worry me in this case because:
a. The trigger bar is a NR bar. So open and close prices are close.
b. This is a play on price contraction and volume contraction at the base of a major Pivot Point (R2). The main thing I was betting on in this type of trade is that price will shoot up in the direction of the trend/upsloping 5EMA.