Showing posts with label bull trap. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bull trap. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Aug 5 - JPM (bull flag)


This is exactly how I want to trade and I really, really hope I can keep this up. I am saying this not because this JPM trade was such a huge winner in dollar value, but because I think I executed according to my plan and my rules. I did not enter too soon and I did not exit in a hurry. I may have given up too much with my final exit, but I hope to keep improving there as well.
The rational for this one is simple and it matches my bull flag setup parameters:
- Initial decisive move with good volume.
- Orderly pullback (bull flag) on declining volume
- A bullish candlestick resuming the move up. That could be a bullish candlestick formation such as an offsetting bar, a hammer, etc.
- The bullish candlestick finds support from the rising 5EMA
- An IB after the bullish candlestick is a plus

Jamie: Your NR7 post is helping me a lot in defining trading rules. Thank you!

Saturday, August 23, 2008

August 22 - CELG and charts

CELG is the only chart that I traded and it failed. CELG formed a base at $73 which was a daily PP, and before that it kept making higher lows. The area in color marks the mini-formation previous to the anticipated (and failed) BO. The interesting thing to note is how price consolidated and formed some bullish bars at the BO area. This ended up being a bull trap that took all the rookies like me. Price takes the $73 area a little bit later in the day without any hesitation. I am still studying this chart to understand the reasons for this failure, and the ones I can see so far are: very choppy session (which is a market broad mood nowadays) and the large number of offsetting bars throughout the session, which I interpret as buyers and sellers fighting for control and market indecision (another form of choppiness).


Next is a series of charts that highlight mini-patters that I am starting to notice. I am not sure where this study would take me, but I certainly find it useful to drill down into the 3min chart and observe the similarities of certain pattern formations.
XTO highlights roundish continuation patterns that mark periods of rest during the down trend.


SOLF highlights a triangular formation before a BO. Consolidation takes place at the upper right corner of the highlighted area with a few bullish bars before the BO.


PBR is one of my favorite charts here. It is also a triangular formation before a major drop. Interesting to note is how price travels from the upper left corner to the lower right corner of the highlighted area, and at the very bottom of the right corner it prints a few NRIBs. Additionally in this chart, the NRIBs are below the previous day low, which makes this setup even more powerful.


WB marks a roundish formation after a mini rally.


GG marks a roundish continuation pattern.